UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Florida A&M
  
Florida A&M           
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 90.6997

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 4- 3 304 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 5- 0 306 A Bryant AE ( 1- 7, 90.7) 4- 3 307 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 6- 5 308 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 1- 4 325 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 4- 7 408 H Grand Canyon MW (11-16, 93.1) 2- 8 414 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 2-11 520 H Texas Southern SWAC ( 1- 2, 88.0) 8- 6 521 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 15- 6 523 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 7, 86.1) 5- 1 524 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 6- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A North Carolina A&T      4- 3       1     0           1.11
   304 H North Florida           5- 0       5    -2    +++    7.09
   306 A Bryant                  4- 3       1    -1           1.71
   307 H Villanova               6- 5       1     1          -0.05
   308 H Villanova               1- 4      -3     1    --    -4.05
   325 H Troy                    4- 7      -3    -5           1.85
   408 H Grand Canyon            2- 8      -6    -2    --    -4.28
   414 A North Florida           2-11      -9    -3    --    -5.56
   520 H Texas Southern          8- 6       2     3          -1.41
   521 A Southern               15- 6       9     4    ++     5.11
   523 A Southern                5- 1       4     4           0.11
   524 H Alabama State           6- 8      -2     0          -1.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Villanova               1- 4      -3     1    --    -4.05
   408 H Grand Canyon            2- 8      -6    -2    --    -4.28
   414 A North Florida           2-11      -9    -3    --    -5.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H North Florida           5- 0       5    -2    +++    7.09
   521 A Southern               15- 6       9     4    ++     5.11

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A North Carolina  (17-29, 90.1)     4- 3       -9.77       8.66       0.68         2.41            44.98
   3 H North Florida   (30-25, 93.5)     5- 0       -6.44      11.99      -0.68         2.41            54.53
   3 A Bryant          ( 1- 7, 90.7)     4- 3       -9.17       9.26       0.68         2.41            47.88
   3 H Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     6- 5       -9.57       8.85      -0.68         2.41            39.41
   3 H Villanova       (15-31, 90.3)     1- 4       -9.57       8.85      -0.68         2.41           -12.35
   3 H Troy            (40-31, 96.2)     4- 7       -3.68      14.75      -0.68         2.41            -5.24
   3 H Grand Canyon    (11-16, 93.1)     2- 8       -6.81      11.62      -0.68         2.41            -9.02
   3 A North Florida   (30-25, 93.5)     2-11       -6.44      11.99       0.68         2.41            -6.94
   3 H Texas Southern  ( 1- 2, 88.0)     8- 6      -11.94       6.49      -0.68         2.41            28.03
   3 A Southern        ( 2- 7, 86.1)    15- 6      -13.77       4.66       0.68         2.41            25.71
   3 A Southern        ( 2- 7, 86.1)     5- 1      -13.77       4.66       0.68         2.41            25.71
   3 H Alabama State   ( 8- 9, 91.8)     6- 8       -8.13      10.30      -0.68         2.41           -10.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       222.08

winning pts = 266.2469 losing points = -44.1719

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------